TLDR
- Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio maintains that “there is only one gold” and Bitcoin cannot serve as its replacement for safe-haven investing
- His Bitcoin allocation represents merely 1% of total holdings, with gold remaining his preferred wealth protection vehicle
- Privacy vulnerabilities and potential quantum computing threats are among his chief concerns regarding Bitcoin
- Since October’s peak, Bitcoin has tumbled more than 45%, whereas gold has surged over 30% to reach $5,120
- Last month, Dalio declared the existing global order has collapsed, reinforcing his preference for gold during turbulent periods
During a March 3 appearance on the All-In Podcast, Ray Dalio, who established Bridgewater Associates, firmly rejected the notion that Bitcoin can serve as a digital equivalent to gold.
“There is only one gold,” Dalio stated emphatically.
While Dalio confirmed ownership of Bitcoin, his allocation represents approximately 1% of his overall portfolio. He treats the cryptocurrency as a diversification mechanism rather than a fundamental wealth preservation instrument.
His reasoning stems from his conception of what constitutes money. According to Dalio, money represents debt — essentially a commitment from centralized authorities. As debt levels expand beyond sustainable limits, central banks possess the ability to create additional currency. This reality drives his preference for assets with inherent scarcity.
“I want an asset that’s got some physical limitation to it,” Dalio explained. “Gold is the only long-term historic asset for reasons.”
Gold exists in finite quantities that cannot be artificially expanded. It commands universal recognition across borders and cultures. Transportation across international boundaries doesn’t require reliance on any counterparty obligations. Global central banks have been steadily expanding their gold reserves in recent years, which Dalio interprets as institutional validation.
He anticipates no similar institutional embrace of Bitcoin in the foreseeable future.
The Transparency Challenge Facing Bitcoin
Dalio’s primary objection to Bitcoin centers on its inherent transparency. The blockchain records every transaction in a publicly accessible manner.
“Bitcoin does not have privacy. Any transaction can be monitored and directly, perhaps, controlled,” he explained.
He doubts central banking institutions will embrace an asset operating on completely transparent distributed ledgers. This transparency issue, from his perspective, disqualifies Bitcoin as a legitimate reserve asset.
Additionally, he identified quantum computing advances as a potential existential risk to Bitcoin’s cryptographic foundation.
Beyond technological considerations, Dalio highlighted Bitcoin’s tendency to move in tandem with technology equities. During periods of forced liquidation, Bitcoin often suffers alongside other speculative assets.
“From an ownership perspective, supply and demand can be affected if somebody gets squeezed in one area and has to sell something else they hold,” Dalio observed.
The Widening Performance Gap Between Gold and Bitcoin
Since October, the performance differential between these two assets has expanded dramatically.
Bitcoin has plunged more than 45% from its October high of $68,420. Meanwhile, gold has climbed over 30% to reach $5,120 during the identical timeframe.
On day five of the U.S.-Iran conflict, gold retreated $168, representing a 3.07% decline, settling at $5,128.58 per ounce. Bitcoin traded at $68,707.30, experiencing only a 0.7% reduction over the previous 24 hours.
Previously in July, Dalio had suggested investors allocate 15% of their portfolios between Bitcoin or gold as a hedge against escalating U.S. debt burdens and currency depreciation.
Last month, Dalio cautioned that the American-dominated international order had fundamentally deteriorated, necessitating a reassessment of conventional wealth preservation approaches. In that scenario, he identified gold — not Bitcoin — as the appropriate defensive asset.
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